• TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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    9 months ago

    We don’t know how the Uncommitted will actually vote in November, though we can be certain at least some will not vote for Biden if nothing changes. It’s a political game of chicken, and it’s Biden’s move.

    Clinton lost Michigan by 0.2% and it cost her the election. Her campaign opted to not focus on the rust belt and delivered us Trump in the first place.

    Biden is losing this election, and I think if a Trump presidency concerns you, its especially worth considering.

    Biden can’t afford to lose any voters in Michigan. His policies are working against his ability to gather support in the 2024 election. We can’t wait until after November to have this conversation. It needs to happen now.

    • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
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      9 months ago

      Biden won Michigan by 154,188. All 100,000 uncommitted could stay home and it wouldn’t change the results. It would just be way tighter than necessary.

        • MdRuckus @lemmy.world
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          9 months ago

          Are you forgetting Trump lost 35% in Michigan??!! He got 65% and you’re worried about 13% uncommitted? Trump lost 3x that number in the primary. My bet’s on Joe.

          • NoneOfUrBusiness@kbin.social
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            9 months ago

            Republicans are more zealously loyal than Democrats. They’ll vote for Trump in the general election because as horrible Biden is he doesn’t advocate for hunting the homeless for sport.

            Edit: Also in the Republican primary did Trump run uncontested? If not then the comparison in the first place has no basis in reality.

    • MdRuckus @lemmy.world
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      9 months ago

      Again, if Trump can’t win more than 65% of his own base as a former president, I’m not that worried. The dude has never won the popular it’s and sure as hell won’t this time. He’s definitely lost support. I will place money that Biden will win an even larger popular and electoral vote victory this time.

      • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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        9 months ago

        I would love to have your confidence bro. I really would. I just look at the polling, I look at the messaging, I look at the fervency of the bases, and I don’t have it.

        Trumps voters are excited as all hell to vote for him. He’s got evangelicals perhaps literally worshiping him.

        I just dont see what you are seeing…

          • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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            9 months ago

            Saved. Love to gamble.

            I’ll give you 1:1 on Biden winning. $20 enough to make it fun?

            Also, I’d like to ask for 20:1 on Biden not being the candidate. If you want those odds, I’d also like to bet $20. (you’d be the house, so if I win, thats a $400 payout on you).

            We can save this post and then venmo or paypal, whatever is preferred.

            Also good with just the first bets or will hear counter odds on Biden not being the candidate.