Yeah, fair. There are a lot of data points in there, and it really depends on how you squint at the results.
Maybe you’re right about public opinion. I do still believe that if the AIPAC decided to, say, throw their weight behind Trump, and withdraw contributions to Democrats who sided with cutting support, that it would be a huge advantage to the GOP. They’ve spread something like $24M in this 24 election cycle, alone; they have an outsized influence on local elections, backing pro-Israel candidates in primaries. With such a tight race, that’s a dangerous gamble.
But perhaps I’m overestimating their influence. I know the Jewish community in the US is more divided on Israel’s invasion than they usually have been. Still, this election is the most important in my long lifetime, and I’m being quite risk adverse.
Yeah, fair. There are a lot of data points in there, and it really depends on how you squint at the results.
Maybe you’re right about public opinion. I do still believe that if the AIPAC decided to, say, throw their weight behind Trump, and withdraw contributions to Democrats who sided with cutting support, that it would be a huge advantage to the GOP. They’ve spread something like $24M in this 24 election cycle, alone; they have an outsized influence on local elections, backing pro-Israel candidates in primaries. With such a tight race, that’s a dangerous gamble.
But perhaps I’m overestimating their influence. I know the Jewish community in the US is more divided on Israel’s invasion than they usually have been. Still, this election is the most important in my long lifetime, and I’m being quite risk adverse.