You can take the “potential” out of the title. Mark my words, Trump will rescind all support.
And I give it two weeks, maximum, until the US officially pulls out of NATO. I say “officially” because let’s face it, do you think Trump would honor his NATO obligations if Russia were to attack, say, Lativia? Nope. It would be more something something not thanking him enough all over again. NATO, or at least the US membership in it, is dead.
In reality, this means nothing. Trump can simply essentially “quiet quit” NATO by simply ignoring it. Don’t go through the formal process of pulling out of it if doing so is going to be too much of a headache. But when the hypothetical situation of Russia invading Lativia becomes reality, Trump could simply respond to his Article V committments by not sending troops. As he is commander-in-chief of our armed forces, this would be well within his rights to do and would have the practical effect of pulling out of NATO without going through the political process of pulling out of NATO.
Sure, we’d still technically be a part of NATO, in the same way that I’m still technically a member of the Catholic church even though I haven’t set foot in a church in about 35 years. I didn’t formally withdraw to avoid family squabbles. I just stopped going. They got the hint eventually. Same thing would apply here.
You can take the “potential” out of the title. Mark my words, Trump will rescind all support.
And I give it two weeks, maximum, until the US officially pulls out of NATO. I say “officially” because let’s face it, do you think Trump would honor his NATO obligations if Russia were to attack, say, Lativia? Nope. It would be more something something not thanking him enough all over again. NATO, or at least the US membership in it, is dead.
If he tried, it would at the very least cause a constitutional crisis. Not to say that means much anymore, but it’s a thread I’m willing to hang onto.
https://www.businessinsider.com/what-would-happen-us-leaves-nato-trump-2025-1
In reality, this means nothing. Trump can simply essentially “quiet quit” NATO by simply ignoring it. Don’t go through the formal process of pulling out of it if doing so is going to be too much of a headache. But when the hypothetical situation of Russia invading Lativia becomes reality, Trump could simply respond to his Article V committments by not sending troops. As he is commander-in-chief of our armed forces, this would be well within his rights to do and would have the practical effect of pulling out of NATO without going through the political process of pulling out of NATO.
Sure, we’d still technically be a part of NATO, in the same way that I’m still technically a member of the Catholic church even though I haven’t set foot in a church in about 35 years. I didn’t formally withdraw to avoid family squabbles. I just stopped going. They got the hint eventually. Same thing would apply here.
Can’t just give up and leave. Gotta hang onto that sweet, sweet veto power. We’ll get evicted from NATO.
And how long until direct military support of Russia?