• PugJesus@kbin.social
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    10 months ago

    Would you care to demonstrate the connection of stopping the Houthis attacking random ships in the Red Sea with dead children?

    • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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      10 months ago

      What I meant by that was:

      Dead Palestinian children? Oh no please stop we’ll send Blinken down, we gotta do something, I don’t know, what do you want to do, this is a pretty thorny issue. I’m not really sure what we could do though. (It could be also be dead Kurds or Iraqis or any number of people who weren’t doing anything; it’s not unique to the Gaza situation)

      More expensive stuff for us? Warships and bombs, right away. Sort that shit out. Don’t even wait for congress. Just bombs.

      I get that it’s not as simple as taking the motivation from #2 and switching it over to happen any time there’s a #1. I’m being a little unfairly reductive you could say. But also, that is exactly the behavior and it’s hard not to be struck by it.

      • PugJesus@kbin.social
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        10 months ago

        The problem is that those are legitimately more thorny issues - not for moral reasons, but diplomatic ones. As much as I, personally, would love if our position was “Israel is bombing Palestinian children in Israeli occupied land? We will be bombing the IDF until they stop”, that’s a much harder sell by international law and public opinion than “Our civilian ships and the ships of our allies are being attacked in international waters by a recognized terrorist group. We will be bombing them until they stop”

        • Otter@lemmy.ca
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          10 months ago

          I think part of the issue the user is describing is the wording of the article, and how it starts by talking about prices of consumer goods in Europe.

          It’s a very complex situation, there are a lot of interconnected factors, and this probably wasn’t the intent of the writer. I assume the article has been through a bunch of edits already

          Still, wording choice and the order of points might make some readers feel a particular way

          • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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            10 months ago

            In all honesty, I think the writer was just being bluntly honest about what’s considered an emergency and why in American decision-making circles. If they’d thought a little more, they might have remembered to disguise what they’re talking about a little bit (“international law” “absolutely necessity to protect civilian vessels from harm” something like that), but as it is it was mostly just, welp, we’re losing tons of money now, like enough to impact us, no way in hell can we have that.

            Again, not even saying it’s a bad thing to jump into action when someone’s cutting our trade routes and attacking merchant ships. Just contrasting.

        • FuglyDuck@lemmy.world
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          10 months ago

          it’s not particularly thorny to be like “yeah, we can’t support that.”, though.

          • PugJesus@kbin.social
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            10 months ago

            In a vacuum I’d agree. But in the context of most Americans still ignorantly in support of continued Israeli aid, it becomes… much thornier.

            • FuglyDuck@lemmy.world
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              10 months ago

              It’s not, though.

              Israel is committing genocide. We’re supplying the weapons. We don’t need to supply the weapons.

                • FuglyDuck@lemmy.world
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                  10 months ago

                  No im not missing it. Im actively disagreeing. You’re arguing that we should compromise on genocide for the sake of political expediency.

                  You have good intentions, which makes you a great road-paver.

                  • PugJesus@kbin.social
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                    10 months ago

                    Okay, you have the president pull out all the stops, including ones of ambiguous legality, to stop supply of aid to Israel. Most voters are opposed and raise an outcry. Congress overrides his limited authority and restores aid, and now the opposition party wins the upcoming election. They send even more aid to Israel’s genocide.

                    Wanna explain to me how that’s a better outcome?

                    We operate in a democracy. If you disregard the will of the voters when making decisions, all you’re doing is pissing away effort and influence in exchange for further losses at the ballot box, and little or no alleviation of the problem you wished to address, and very likely an aggravation of it.

        • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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          10 months ago

          Yeah. Ships of our allies > out-group civilian children. I know. (Both in terms of our response, and in terms of deciding which actions lead to a terrorist group getting that little “recognized” label.)

          I’m gonna let it go at that, because this isn’t a Gaza thread and kind of not the place for it. And yeah, I do 100% agree with you on the counterbalancing factor that it for-real isn’t as simple as I’m trying to make it sound. It just irked me the naked realpolitik of the beginning of the article speaking in hushed and urgent tones about how important this all is, because it’s directly affecting the money.

          • PugJesus@kbin.social
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            10 months ago

            I mean, when prices spike, considering that food prices are already high because of the Russo-Ukrainian War, plenty of people in the third world are going to suffer from malnutrition. Same with meds and equipment, same with businesses failing and unemployment rising. People like to act like money is an abstract that only matters to the greedy, but things are much more direct than that.

            • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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              10 months ago

              If the motivation was to prevent malnutrition and third-world unemployment, there are much more direct ways that take fewer warships. Also:

              “European consumers will feel the pain … It will hit developed economies more than it will hit developing economies,” the Dubai-based logistics company’s finance chief added.

              Not that I’m saying there’s anything wrong with protecting your and your allies’ economic interests. That’s completely fine, it’s the responsible thing for a government to do, and I’m not saying it’s not. It does impact people all over the world, as you point out, and the folks on those boats are civilians, too. I’m just saying that at a certain point of first-world not-literally-starving comfort it starts to become selfish to become so protective of it, while pointedly not doing anything as-yet-effective about an unfolding horror of humanity just a little ways down the exact same waterway.

              Surely that seems like a reasonable thing to say? Maybe not. (And just to be clear I’m not talking about bombing the IDF or anything remotely like that. I have no idea what the actual solution is or would look like. Just struck by the contrast; that’s all.)

              (Edit: I think I’m gonna stop responding now unless there’s something really new; I feel like I’m repeating myself and genuinely don’t want to try to hijack this story to start talking about Gaza.)

              • PugJesus@kbin.social
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                10 months ago

                If the motivation was to prevent malnutrition and third-world unemployment, there are much more direct ways that take fewer warships.

                I mean, the point isn’t that it’s their motivation. The point is that that’s the effect. I’m pretty sure the motivation of the Houthis in this is to raise their reputation, not save Palestinian children.

                Surely that seems like a reasonable thing to say? Maybe not. (And just to be clear I’m not talking about bombing the IDF. I have no idea what the actual solution is or would look like. Just struck by the contrast; that’s all.)

                I guess that’s where the difference between our positions comes in. For me, there’s a solid solution to stopping the Houthis with minimal costs, while the number of practical solutions to stop the ongoing Israeli genocide is… smaller, and all of the options have much higher costs - not simply monetary, but diplomatic and in human life - and require much wider consensus to implement in terms of getting the government to act. “The Commander-in-Chief is the Commander-in-Chief - we are authorized to retaliate to defend our civilian ships and ourselves” is much easier than “The Congress which can’t even pass a budget at the moment needs to strip Israel, a long-term ‘ally’ which has bribed 2/3s of our government, of all assistance until they stop their genocide against people we have no authority over or especial legal responsibility to protect”

                (Edit: I think I’m gonna stop responding now unless there’s something really new; I feel like I’m repeating myself and genuinely don’t want to try to hijack this story to start talking about Gaza.)

                While fair, it is connected to Gaza insofar as it’s the Houthis’ claimed reason for their terrorism.

                • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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                  10 months ago

                  smaller, and all of the options have much higher costs - not simply monetary, but diplomatic and in human life

                  I think the reality is that we like having Israel as an ally in the region, because it helps us get done stuff we want to get done, and helps destabilize the region preventing a single unified anti-US coalition from arising, and so we like it, and that’s that. And dead or starving children are not a factor.

                  I think that’s pretty fucked up, is the whole root of why I’m saying this. It’s one thing to neglect some situation of injustice or misery somewhere in the world; it’s a whole new type of thing if we’re actively helping create it with our military aid. Although I’m not an expert on any of this by any means, I think laying down some rules for Israel if they want to continue to rely on that support would be a realistic thing for us to do. I don’t really buy that today politicians in the US would pay too heavy a price for not supporting Israel (in the past, I think yes), or that we would pay any real diplomatic price with other countries. I think it would actually help us a lot, lot more than it would hurt if this kind of thing stopped happening.

                  • PugJesus@kbin.social
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                    10 months ago

                    I think the reality is that we like having Israel as an ally in the region, because it helps us get done stuff we want to get done, and helps destabilize the region preventing a single unified anti-US coalition from arising, and so we like it, and that’s that. And dead or starving children are not a factor.

                    But does it, though? Like, speaking purely from an amoral, realpolitik perspective, Israel is actually… really unhelpful to US interests. For most Arab states, the point that sticks in the craw of aligning with the USA (which they generally do reluctantly anyway) is the continued support of Israel. Israel sells our military secrets, leeches off our money, damages our international reputation, and isn’t even in a particularly useful position for our international political goals, unlike Egypt, Turkiye, and Iraq.

                    I agree dead and starving children aren’t a factor. But my point is that our continued support of Israel isn’t related to the benefit they give to the US itself - this is the Iron Law of Institutions in action. Our continued support of Israel is related to the benefit they give to US decisionmakers. And that is, namely, the utilization of unlimited dark money and a massive and successful popular propaganda arm amongst voters.

                    I think that’s pretty fucked up, is the whole root of why I’m saying this. It’s one thing to neglect some situation of injustice or misery somewhere in the world; it’s a whole new type of thing if we’re actively helping create it with our military aid. Although I’m not an expert on any of this by any means, I think laying down some rules for Israel if they want to continue to rely on that support would be a realistic thing for us to do. I don’t really buy that today politicians in the US would pay too heavy a price for not supporting Israel (in the past, I think yes), or that we would pay any real diplomatic price with other countries. I think it would actually help us a lot, lot more than it would hurt if this kind of thing stopped happening.

                    I mean, honestly, my position is that all aid for Israel should be revoked. But my point is that I also understand why it’s not done; even if one wishes to at the moment, it would be a strategic disaster that would crater whichever party tried it and encourage further bootlicking support of Israel.

                    If we want to change this state of affairs, we have to start with public opinion - and only then can we meaningfully change policy.

        • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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          10 months ago

          Let me use analogy.

          There’s a school shooting actively going on. It’s been for a few hours, people are still dying, and the cops are simply nowhere to be found, because the school shooters are close friends with some of the cops’ family and it’s a “thorny issue” how to get them to stop without hurting anyone’s feelings (and also because some but by no means all of the victims of the shooting were involved in an unprovoked aggravated assault against the shooters earlier, that touched the whole thing off).

          After quite a while of that happening, someone robs a business right next to the school. The cops all of a sudden show up, guns blazing, arrest the perpetrator, and stand around the business making sure nothing else happens. While, in the distance, gunshots can still be heard from the still-ongoing school shooting.

          Is stopping robbery a good thing? Sure. Absolutely. Will letting the robbers get away with it save any of the kids? Absolutely not. But you see how that’d be a little weird?

          • TigrisMorte@kbin.social
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            10 months ago

            Lets fix your analogy. There is no connection between commercial shipping and the School shooting and total idiots want us to ignore terrorist attacks on a highway near by because the idiots are idiots.

            • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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              10 months ago

              I’m not sure there’s really anyone who thinks that the terrorist attacks on shipping (i.e. the highway, i.e. the robbery) should get ignored. Obviously stopping the robbery is a good thing, as I literally just said in the message you’re replying to.

              Would you say that stopping the deaths of innocent people (i.e. the school shooting) is also a good thing? That’s my whole point. I wouldn’t think that would be all that controversial.