• Argongas@kbin.social
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    8 months ago

    She’s not going to beat him in the primary, however there’s a not insignificant chance that Trump flames out (disqualification or conviction) and she’ll be the only candidate left with some delegates and she’ll default her way into the nomination.

    • gAlienLifeform@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I don’t think this Republican party is ever going to disqualify Trump no matter what he gets convicted of, but I suppose he’s due for a stroke or heart attack or something like that

      But even still, couldn’t the GOP delegates pledged to Trump just pick another candidate if he’s unavailable? Might be a second round of voting at their convention situation, but I think if no one candidate clenches a majority the first time around the delegates can start siding with whoever they want, and I feel like there’s going to be at least a few of them with grudges against Haley (like, it doesn’t take a whole lot for Republicans to start hating women to begin with)

      • Nightwingdragon@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        I don’t think this Republican party is ever going to disqualify Trump no matter what he gets convicted of, but I suppose he’s due for a stroke or heart attack or something like that

        There is a nonzero chance that the Supreme Court upholds Colorado’s removal of Trump from the ballot under the 14th amendment. If they do, there’s nothing that the GOP can do to get him back on the ballot. Trump would be out of the race, and Haley would essentially be the nominee by default.

        And there’s also the very real possibility that Trump drops dead of a heart attack. Not only is he 77 years old and already in poor physical and mental health, his diet consists of Burger King and a whole bunch of food even worse for you than Burger King.

        But even still, couldn’t the GOP delegates pledged to Trump just pick another candidate if he’s unavailable?

        Has anyone in modern history ever been a viable candidate for President but dropped dead mid-race? Genuine question. I have no idea what the procedure would be. But it would at least be funny watching the GOP stumble all over themselves trying to figure out what to do.

        I think Haley’s plan is to hang on by a string until the Supreme Court makes their ruling. If they don’t remove Trump from the ballot on 14a grounds, she’ll probably drop out before the end of the day. The viability of her entire candidacy hinges entirely on that ruling. If they boot Trump from the ballot, she’s probably the nominee by default. If they let him stay on, her campaign is dead in the water.